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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.58+6.85vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.14+7.73vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.11+6.83vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.37+1.36vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.23+4.19vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.35-0.49vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05-0.74vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.22+1.23vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.91vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.18-4.19vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.76-3.43vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-2.17vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.56-0.99vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.14-4.07vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.14+0.40vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.77-4.80vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.04-6.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.85George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.73Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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9.83Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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5.36College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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5.51Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.26Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.23University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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8.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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5.81Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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7.57Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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12.01University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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15.4University of Virginia0.140.0%1st Place
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11.2Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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10.22Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Bakos | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 1.5% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 3.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 13.4% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Steadman | 11.5% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 2.2% |
| Carolyn Keck | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 9.6% |
| Jessica McJones | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 2.7% |
| Katherine Green | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 63.7% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 6.3% |
| Grace Howie | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.