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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+4.09vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+4.16vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.58+4.92vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.04+6.04vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35+0.15vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.11+3.87vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.22+2.32vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.14+1.46vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.14+0.83vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.23-0.82vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.18-5.07vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.76-4.68vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia0.14+2.30vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-4.10vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.15-2.06vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.56-4.25vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-9.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.16Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.92George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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10.04Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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5.15Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.87Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.32University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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9.46Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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9.83U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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9.18Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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5.93Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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7.32Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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15.3University of Virginia0.140.0%1st Place
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9.9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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12.94Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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11.75University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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7.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 14.1% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Miranda Bakos | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Grace Howie | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Maia Agerup | 14.5% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 1.4% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 5.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 1.6% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Hannah Steadman | 12.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Green | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 13.1% | 61.8% |
| Jessica Bennett | 2.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 2.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 23.3% | 15.9% |
| Carolyn Keck | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 7.4% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.