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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.15+11.74vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.14+7.52vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.04+6.95vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.18+1.87vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.76+2.15vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+0.36vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.56+4.71vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.37-2.79vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+0.94vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-2.34vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.23-1.56vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.11-2.33vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.58-4.95vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.14-4.23vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.14+0.31vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.35-10.73vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.22-7.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.74Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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9.52Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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9.95Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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5.87Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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7.15Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.36Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.71University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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5.21College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.94St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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7.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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9.44Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.67Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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8.05George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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15.31University of Virginia0.140.0%1st Place
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5.27Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.4University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Salomon | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 23.8% | 14.3% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Grace Howie | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.0% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Keck | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 7.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 14.7% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 1.9% |
| Miranda Bakos | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| Katherine Green | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 11.9% | 61.5% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.6% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.