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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+2.55vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+2.52vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+6.12vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.35+3.79vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.50+5.79vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.51+5.14vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.12+1.64vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.50-0.80vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.57+1.87vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.09-4.72vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-2.99vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.79-2.08vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.73-2.79vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia0.98-1.14vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.46-7.57vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania0.86-2.86vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.07-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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4.52Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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9.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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7.79George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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10.79Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.14University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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8.64Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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7.2Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.87U. S. Naval Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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5.28College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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9.92Tufts University1.790.0%1st Place
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10.21Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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12.86University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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7.43Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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13.14University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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12.53Old Dominion University1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 23.1% | 18.9% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 15.2% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 7.1% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Daisy Holthus | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Milliken | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 6.6% |
| Paris Henken | 11.4% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Leyla Senocak | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 21.4% |
| Haddon Hughes | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Raemie Ladner | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 24.5% |
| Emily Harrison | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.