← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University2.35+6.65vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.09+3.29vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University2.50+4.34vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.72-0.31vs Predicted
-
5Boston University2.12+3.54vs Predicted
-
6University of Wisconsin1.51+5.09vs Predicted
-
7University of Virginia0.98+5.67vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.79+1.69vs Predicted
-
9Yale University3.33-4.23vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-1.01vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy1.57-0.16vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University2.46-4.56vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-5.02vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University1.07-1.39vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University1.73-4.86vs Predicted
-
16University of Pennsylvania0.86-2.84vs Predicted
-
17Eckerd College1.50-5.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.65George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
-
5.29College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
-
7.34Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
-
3.69Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
-
8.54Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
-
11.09University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
-
12.67University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
-
9.69Tufts University1.790.0%1st Place
-
4.77Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
8.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
-
10.84U. S. Naval Academy1.570.0%1st Place
-
7.44Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
-
7.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
-
12.61Old Dominion University1.070.0%1st Place
-
10.14Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
-
13.16University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
-
11.12Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Paris Henken | 13.5% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 22.3% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 7.2% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 17.9% |
| Leyla Senocak | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.2% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Kelly Milliken | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% |
| Haddon Hughes | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Emily Harrison | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 18.8% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
| Raemie Ladner | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 25.5% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.