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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.09+4.21vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+2.60vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.73+7.13vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.46+3.49vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.12+3.61vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.57+4.87vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.72-3.45vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.50-0.76vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.50+2.11vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-2.23vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.35-3.06vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.51-1.07vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania0.86+0.14vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-4.77vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.98-2.32vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.07-3.50vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.79-7.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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4.6Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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10.13Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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7.49Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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8.61Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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10.87U. S. Naval Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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3.55Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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7.24Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.11Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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7.94George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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10.93University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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13.14University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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9.23St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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12.68University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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12.5Old Dominion University1.070.0%1st Place
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9.99Tufts University1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Henken | 13.8% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 15.1% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.9% |
| Haddon Hughes | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Kelly Milliken | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 6.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 22.0% | 20.2% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.3% |
| Raemie Ladner | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 24.0% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 21.5% |
| Emily Harrison | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 18.7% |
| Leyla Senocak | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.