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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+2.51vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.09+3.28vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.73+7.09vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.07+8.44vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.79+4.70vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+2.08vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+2.13vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.57+2.47vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.35-1.00vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.51+0.87vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.12-2.15vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.33-7.35vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania0.86+0.20vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia0.98-1.15vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.50-7.67vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.46-8.53vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.50-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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5.28College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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10.09Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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12.44Old Dominion University1.070.0%1st Place
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9.7Tufts University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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9.13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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10.47U. S. Naval Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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8.0George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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10.87University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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8.85Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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4.65Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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13.2University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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12.85University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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7.33Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.47Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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11.08Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 24.1% | 18.6% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 12.1% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 4.2% |
| Emily Harrison | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 17.3% |
| Leyla Senocak | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.5% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Kelly Milliken | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.3% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 6.1% |
| Grace Mooradian | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 15.0% | 16.1% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raemie Ladner | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 26.4% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 15.5% | 22.2% |
| Daisy Holthus | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Haddon Hughes | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.