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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.09+4.15vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.72+1.54vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.57+7.68vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+0.70vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.51+5.76vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.07+6.62vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+2.09vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.46-0.68vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.79+1.09vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.50-2.80vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-2.95vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.73-1.90vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.12-4.23vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.35-6.03vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania0.86-1.93vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.50-4.97vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.98-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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3.54Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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10.68U. S. Naval Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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4.7Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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10.76University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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12.62Old Dominion University1.070.0%1st Place
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9.09St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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7.32Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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10.09Tufts University1.790.0%1st Place
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7.2Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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10.1Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.77Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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7.97George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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13.07University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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11.03Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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12.84University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Henken | 13.9% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 24.0% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Milliken | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 15.4% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 6.7% |
| Emily Harrison | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 19.9% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Haddon Hughes | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Leyla Senocak | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Daisy Holthus | 5.4% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 3.6% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Raemie Ladner | 0.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 25.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% |
| Katarina Catallo | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.