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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+3.38vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.09+3.07vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.50+4.10vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.46+3.28vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.51+5.54vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania0.86+7.12vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.35+0.59vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.72-4.50vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.79+0.78vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-1.34vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.73-0.97vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.12-3.59vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.50-2.08vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.07-1.64vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.98-2.44vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.42-4.86vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy1.57-6.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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5.07College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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7.1Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.28Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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10.54University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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13.12University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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7.59George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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3.5Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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9.78Tufts University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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10.03Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.41Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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10.92Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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12.36Old Dominion University1.070.0%1st Place
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12.56University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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11.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.420.0%1st Place
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10.55U. S. Naval Academy1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 17.7% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 13.1% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Haddon Hughes | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.2% |
| Raemie Ladner | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 24.6% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 23.9% | 19.3% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leyla Senocak | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% |
| Emily Harrison | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 15.9% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 20.1% |
| Alexandra Mares | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% |
| Kelly Milliken | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.