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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.09+4.04vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+6.83vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.72+0.44vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.35+3.65vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.46+2.11vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania0.86+7.10vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.33-2.53vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.57+2.32vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.50-1.75vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.79-0.40vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia0.98+1.57vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.51-1.29vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.12-4.43vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.07-1.61vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.73-5.04vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.50-5.12vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.42-5.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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3.44Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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7.65George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.11Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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13.1University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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4.47Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.32U. S. Naval Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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7.25Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.6Tufts University1.790.0%1st Place
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12.57University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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10.71University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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8.57Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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12.39Old Dominion University1.070.0%1st Place
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9.96Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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10.88Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Henken | 13.7% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 24.3% | 20.7% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Haddon Hughes | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Raemie Ladner | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 23.4% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 14.9% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Milliken | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% |
| Daisy Holthus | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Leyla Senocak | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Katarina Catallo | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 20.2% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Emily Harrison | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 16.8% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% |
| Alexandra Mares | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.