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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.09+4.07vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.35+5.48vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.46+4.25vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.50+3.17vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.33-0.61vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.73+4.07vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+1.87vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.79+1.53vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.72-5.31vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.12-1.61vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.50-0.16vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.42-0.97vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.57-2.42vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania0.86-0.96vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.51-4.28vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.98-3.39vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.07-4.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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7.48George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.25Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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7.17Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.39Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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10.07Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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9.53Tufts University1.790.0%1st Place
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3.69Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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8.39Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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10.84Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.420.0%1st Place
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10.58U. S. Naval Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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13.04University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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10.72University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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12.61University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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12.28Old Dominion University1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Henken | 13.4% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Haddon Hughes | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Daisy Holthus | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 17.2% | 16.9% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Leyla Senocak | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 20.3% | 19.5% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.5% |
| Alexandra Mares | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 7.4% |
| Kelly Milliken | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% |
| Raemie Ladner | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 23.3% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 19.9% |
| Emily Harrison | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.