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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.09+4.03vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.12+6.34vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.46+4.22vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+0.52vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.72-1.52vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.50+1.26vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.42+4.05vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.51+2.49vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+0.04vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.57+0.44vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.73-0.96vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.50-1.26vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.07-0.60vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.35-6.33vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.79-5.35vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.98-3.34vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania0.86-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.34Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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7.22Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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4.52Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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3.48Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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7.26Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.420.0%1st Place
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10.49University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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9.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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10.44U. S. Naval Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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10.04Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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10.74Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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12.4Old Dominion University1.070.0%1st Place
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7.67George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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9.65Tufts University1.790.0%1st Place
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12.66University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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12.95University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Henken | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Haddon Hughes | 6.5% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 15.6% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 24.1% | 20.9% | 15.5% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Alexandra Mares | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 6.6% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% |
| Kelly Milliken | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.3% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.4% |
| Emily Harrison | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 18.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Leyla Senocak | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 19.1% |
| Raemie Ladner | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 24.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.