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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+2.43vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.09+3.06vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+1.47vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.46+3.27vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.42+5.88vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.50+1.28vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+1.92vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.73+1.73vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.07+3.44vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.51+0.62vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.57-0.34vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.79-2.32vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.12-4.48vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.35-6.29vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania0.86-2.15vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.98-3.36vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.50-6.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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5.06College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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4.47Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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7.27Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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10.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.420.0%1st Place
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7.28Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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9.73Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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12.44Old Dominion University1.070.0%1st Place
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10.62University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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10.66U. S. Naval Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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9.68Tufts University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.52Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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7.71George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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12.85University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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12.64University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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10.85Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 23.9% | 19.0% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 12.1% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 15.4% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Haddon Hughes | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Alexandra Mares | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% |
| Daisy Holthus | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Emily Harrison | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 16.9% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% |
| Kelly Milliken | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 5.9% |
| Leyla Senocak | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Grace Mooradian | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Raemie Ladner | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 23.7% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 19.5% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.