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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.05+1.64vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-1.19+2.10vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.61+0.43vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology-0.29-1.00vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland0.45-2.74vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-2.76-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64Princeton University0.050.2%1st Place
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4.1University of Delaware-1.190.1%1st Place
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3.43Drexel University-0.610.1%1st Place
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3.0Stevens Institute of Technology-0.290.2%1st Place
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2.26University of Maryland0.450.4%1st Place
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5.59Rutgers University-2.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zak Dasaro | 24.6% | 26.8% | 21.6% | 16.0% | 9.5% | 1.5% |
| Morgan Kelly | 7.0% | 9.4% | 15.1% | 17.2% | 38.0% | 13.3% |
| Alison Reed | 12.8% | 15.6% | 18.4% | 26.8% | 22.1% | 4.3% |
| Jesse Stevenson | 18.3% | 18.7% | 24.8% | 23.2% | 13.0% | 2.0% |
| Derek Safieh | 36.2% | 27.7% | 17.6% | 12.2% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
| Declan McNamara | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 12.0% | 78.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.