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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland0.45+0.95vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology-0.29+0.75vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.61+0.15vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.19-0.10vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-2.76+0.50vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-1.08-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95University of Maryland0.450.4%1st Place
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2.75Stevens Institute of Technology-0.290.2%1st Place
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3.15Drexel University-0.610.2%1st Place
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3.9University of Delaware-1.190.1%1st Place
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5.5Rutgers University-2.760.0%1st Place
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3.75Princeton University-1.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Safieh | 43.6% | 29.7% | 17.6% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Jesse Stevenson | 22.1% | 25.1% | 22.9% | 18.1% | 9.7% | 2.1% |
| Alison Reed | 16.0% | 18.4% | 21.4% | 25.4% | 15.9% | 2.9% |
| Morgan Kelly | 7.6% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 23.2% | 31.1% | 10.6% |
| Declan McNamara | 1.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 11.3% | 75.8% |
| Elizabeth Bailey | 9.7% | 11.9% | 18.2% | 22.6% | 29.2% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.