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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.60+5.68vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.24+2.42vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.14+5.31vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.39+6.97vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+2.55vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+5.75vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.95+1.89vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.60+2.33vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.48-2.29vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.97-0.94vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.71-4.87vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.09-3.36vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.97-4.31vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-2.44vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.95-2.19vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.82-2.65vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.26-1.95vs Predicted
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18California Poly Maritime Academy2.60-7.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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4.42Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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8.31Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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10.97Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.55St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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11.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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8.89Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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10.33Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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6.71Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.06Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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6.13Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.64University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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8.69Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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12.81Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
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13.35University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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15.05Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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10.11California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Sertl | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.4% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% |
| Dane Byerly | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 7.1% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Christian Filter | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Dakota Northrup | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Greta Farrell | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 6.8% |
| Samuel Shannon | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 13.2% |
| Kyle Magno | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 16.6% | 16.9% |
| Paul Hart | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 15.5% | 39.7% |
| Johannes McElvain | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.