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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.97+8.00vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.24+2.40vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+4.74vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.60+2.33vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.48+1.81vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.82+7.27vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.71-0.98vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy2.60+2.20vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.09-0.78vs Predicted
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10Cornell University3.14-1.62vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.60-0.59vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.95-2.72vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.95-0.40vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.97-5.42vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.26-0.04vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-4.18vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-4.96vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.39-7.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.0Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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4.4Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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7.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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6.33Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.81Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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13.27University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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6.02Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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10.2California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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8.22University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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8.38Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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10.41Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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9.28Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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12.6Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
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8.58Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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14.96Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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11.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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12.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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10.95Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Gearon | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.9% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dane Byerly | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Nick Sertl | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.6% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Magno | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 17.6% |
| Martim Anderson | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Johannes McElvain | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Clark Uhl | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Samuel Shannon | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 13.2% |
| Christian Filter | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Paul Hart | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 15.6% | 37.3% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% |
| Greta Farrell | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 7.8% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.