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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.20+6.10vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+4.72vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.23+3.93vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.14+3.00vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.79+3.42vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.60+3.26vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.93+0.91vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.52+1.48vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.08+2.37vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.25-3.08vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.91-2.85vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.60+4.10vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.82-0.77vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-3.08vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.43-5.07vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.75-7.30vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.06-5.40vs Predicted
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18California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-5.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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6.93Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.0Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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8.42Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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9.26Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
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7.91University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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9.48Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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11.37University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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6.92Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.15Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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16.1Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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12.23Eckerd College1.820.0%1st Place
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10.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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9.93Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.7Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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11.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.060.0%1st Place
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12.25California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Liam McCarthy | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Conner Harding | 8.9% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McCoy | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Sam Alexander | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Brad Seferian | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Luke Ingalls | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Max Thompson | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 4.5% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Dochoda | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Henry Proud | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 14.1% | 58.0% |
| Samuel Peirson | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 10.4% |
| Alexander Bowen | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 4.0% |
| Phillip Schofield | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Matt Safford | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Hennessey | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 5.3% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.