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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.23+5.90vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.25+4.73vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.91+5.14vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.75+4.38vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+1.42vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.79+2.28vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.60+2.11vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.93-0.30vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.43+0.80vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.08+1.51vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.06+0.45vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.20-4.94vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-0.85vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.82-2.08vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.80+0.36vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.52-6.52vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-3.18vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.14-11.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.9Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.73Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.14Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.38Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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8.28Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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9.11Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
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7.7University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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9.8Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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11.51University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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11.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.060.0%1st Place
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7.06Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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12.15California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.0%1st Place
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11.92Eckerd College1.820.0%1st Place
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15.36Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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9.48Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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13.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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6.79Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conner Harding | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Josh Dochoda | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Matt Safford | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Liam McCarthy | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sam Alexander | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Brad Seferian | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Luke Ingalls | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Phillip Schofield | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Max Thompson | 3.9% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 5.0% |
| Ryan Hennessey | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.6% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 9.4% |
| Samuel Peirson | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 7.1% |
| William Sunkler | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 43.4% |
| Sarah De Silva | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 19.1% | 20.7% |
| Jackson McCoy | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.