← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.25+5.81vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University3.23+4.85vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+3.59vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.14+2.86vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University2.43+4.73vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island2.93+1.81vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.79+1.32vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.75+0.48vs Predicted
-
9University of Miami2.08+2.26vs Predicted
-
10Boston University2.91-1.83vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.52-1.41vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+1.95vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University3.20-6.35vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.06-3.04vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University2.60-5.96vs Predicted
-
16Eckerd College1.82-3.70vs Predicted
-
17California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-4.58vs Predicted
-
18Washington College0.80-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.81Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
-
6.85Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
-
6.59St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
-
6.86Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
-
9.73Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
-
7.81University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
-
8.32Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
-
8.48Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
-
11.26University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
-
8.17Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
-
9.59Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
-
13.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
-
6.65Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
-
10.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.060.0%1st Place
-
9.04Fordham University2.600.0%1st Place
-
12.3Eckerd College1.820.0%1st Place
-
12.42California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.0%1st Place
-
15.21Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Lamphere | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Conner Harding | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Liam McCarthy | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Phillip Schofield | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Luke Ingalls | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Sam Alexander | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Matt Safford | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Max Thompson | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 4.2% |
| Josh Dochoda | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Sarah De Silva | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 17.6% | 23.1% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Hennessey | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 4.8% |
| Brad Seferian | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Samuel Peirson | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 8.8% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 9.4% |
| William Sunkler | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 17.5% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.