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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.43+3.85vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.60+2.72vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.84+1.05vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.72+0.14vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.24+0.14vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.24-2.79vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.21-1.64vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.42-1.17vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College1.52-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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4.72Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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4.05Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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4.14University of Rhode Island2.720.2%1st Place
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5.14Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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3.21Tufts University3.240.2%1st Place
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5.36Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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6.83Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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6.69Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Vasiliou | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 5.6% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 9.6% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 5.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 14.8% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 15.2% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Claire Havig | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 9.8% |
| Cameron Holley | 23.2% | 21.4% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 9.4% |
| Chris Colbeth | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 33.9% |
| Ben Brown | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 19.7% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.