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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.84+3.00vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.42+5.05vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.72+1.31vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.24-0.84vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.21+0.16vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.60-1.53vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.24-1.72vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.43-3.11vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College1.52-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0Harvard University2.840.2%1st Place
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7.05Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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4.31University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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3.16Tufts University3.240.2%1st Place
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5.16Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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4.47Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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5.28Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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4.89Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.68Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 16.7% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Chris Colbeth | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 18.5% | 37.5% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 14.0% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 2.1% |
| Cameron Holley | 23.7% | 20.8% | 18.9% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 8.4% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 9.1% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 11.9% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 3.8% |
| Claire Havig | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 7.9% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 10.2% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 7.0% |
| Ben Brown | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 20.0% | 29.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.