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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College1.52+5.66vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.43+3.08vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.24+2.31vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.42+2.80vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.60-0.64vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.72-1.79vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.84-2.98vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.24-4.74vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.21-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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5.08Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.31Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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6.8Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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4.36Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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4.21University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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4.02Harvard University2.840.2%1st Place
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3.26Tufts University3.240.2%1st Place
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5.3Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Brown | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 20.5% | 30.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 7.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 6.8% |
| Claire Havig | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 9.2% |
| Chris Colbeth | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 17.5% | 33.9% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 14.0% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 4.6% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 14.7% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Henry Burnes | 15.2% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Cameron Holley | 24.5% | 19.4% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.