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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.84+3.05vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.60+2.67vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.24+2.29vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.21+1.21vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.24-1.84vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.43-1.19vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.42-0.06vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.52-1.35vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.72-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05Harvard University2.840.2%1st Place
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4.67Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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5.29Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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5.21Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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3.16Tufts University3.240.3%1st Place
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4.81Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.94Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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6.65Middlebury College1.520.1%1st Place
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4.22University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 15.3% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 8.7% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 5.1% |
| Claire Havig | 8.1% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 8.9% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 7.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 9.7% |
| Cameron Holley | 26.4% | 22.4% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 10.2% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 5.8% |
| Chris Colbeth | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 19.9% | 35.3% |
| Ben Brown | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 20.6% | 29.1% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 14.1% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.