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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.84+3.01vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.43+3.03vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.24+0.25vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.42+2.76vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.72-0.83vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.21-0.69vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.24-1.72vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.60-3.49vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College1.52-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01Harvard University2.840.2%1st Place
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5.03Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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3.25Tufts University3.240.2%1st Place
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6.76Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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4.17University of Rhode Island2.720.2%1st Place
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5.31Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.28Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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4.51Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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6.68Middlebury College1.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 15.7% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 1.9% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 7.4% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 6.7% |
| Cameron Holley | 24.0% | 18.5% | 18.0% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Chris Colbeth | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 17.3% | 34.1% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 15.2% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 9.8% |
| Claire Havig | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 8.6% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 13.4% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 4.9% |
| Ben Brown | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 20.2% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.