← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.84+3.00vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.24+1.40vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.24+2.32vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.43+0.82vs Predicted
-
5Boston University2.60-0.61vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.42+0.84vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.72-2.75vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University2.21-2.71vs Predicted
-
9Middlebury College1.52-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.0Harvard University2.840.2%1st Place
-
3.4Tufts University3.240.2%1st Place
-
5.32Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
-
4.82Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
-
4.39Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
-
6.84Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
-
4.25University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
-
5.29Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
-
6.68Middlebury College1.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 17.1% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
| Cameron Holley | 19.4% | 22.5% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Claire Havig | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 8.6% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 6.8% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 13.6% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% |
| Chris Colbeth | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 22.1% | 31.5% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 13.6% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 10.4% |
| Ben Brown | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.