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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.72+3.28vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.60+2.69vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.24+0.23vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.84-0.07vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College1.52+1.51vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.21-0.68vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.43-2.13vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.24-2.74vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.42-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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4.69Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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3.23Tufts University3.240.2%1st Place
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3.93Harvard University2.840.2%1st Place
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6.51Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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5.32Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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4.87Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.26Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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6.9Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Isherwood | 14.9% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 3.0% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 10.3% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 5.1% |
| Cameron Holley | 23.3% | 20.4% | 17.2% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 15.7% | 17.6% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Ben Brown | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 29.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 9.1% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 4.7% |
| Claire Havig | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 10.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 18.2% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.