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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.72+3.32vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.43+3.05vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.60+1.56vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.21+1.19vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.42+1.69vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.84-2.06vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College1.52-0.26vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.24-4.71vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.24-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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5.05Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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4.56Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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5.19Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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6.69Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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3.94Harvard University2.840.2%1st Place
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6.74Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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3.29Tufts University3.240.2%1st Place
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5.21Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Isherwood | 13.8% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 7.1% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 4.5% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 9.9% |
| Chris Colbeth | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 16.9% | 33.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 16.5% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Ben Brown | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 13.5% | 21.7% | 30.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 23.7% | 21.6% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Claire Havig | 9.1% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.