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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.24+2.27vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.84+2.18vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.43+1.93vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.60+0.38vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College1.52+1.50vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.24-0.81vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.42-0.05vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.72-3.73vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.21-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Tufts University3.240.2%1st Place
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4.18Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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4.93Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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4.38Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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6.5Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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5.19Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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6.95Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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4.27University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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5.33Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Holley | 23.2% | 20.6% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Henry Burnes | 13.3% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 11.0% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 6.9% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 13.3% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| Ben Brown | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 17.3% | 29.7% |
| Claire Havig | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 7.9% |
| Chris Colbeth | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 21.4% | 35.7% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 13.7% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 3.3% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.