← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.72+3.29vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University2.21+3.53vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.84+1.04vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.43+0.76vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.42+1.71vs Predicted
-
6Boston University2.60-1.54vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University3.24-3.74vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.24-2.72vs Predicted
-
9Middlebury College1.52-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.29University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
-
5.53Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
-
4.04Harvard University2.840.2%1st Place
-
4.76Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
-
6.71Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
-
4.46Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
-
3.26Tufts University3.240.2%1st Place
-
5.28Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
-
6.69Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Isherwood | 13.8% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 3.4% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 10.9% |
| Henry Burnes | 16.4% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 10.6% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 5.8% |
| Chris Colbeth | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 18.9% | 32.9% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 12.7% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| Cameron Holley | 22.4% | 22.1% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Claire Havig | 9.1% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 10.2% |
| Ben Brown | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 18.8% | 31.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.