← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.84+3.00vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.43+3.06vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island2.72+1.26vs Predicted
-
4Boston University2.60+0.41vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University3.24-1.81vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.42+0.82vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University2.21-1.66vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.24-2.77vs Predicted
-
9Middlebury College1.52-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.0Harvard University2.840.2%1st Place
-
5.06Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
-
4.26University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
-
4.41Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
-
3.19Tufts University3.240.3%1st Place
-
6.82Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
-
5.34Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
-
5.23Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
-
6.69Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 15.8% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 7.4% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 13.1% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 2.0% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 12.0% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| Cameron Holley | 26.4% | 21.1% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 20.9% | 32.8% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 9.2% |
| Claire Havig | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 10.1% |
| Ben Brown | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 19.5% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.