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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.84+3.04vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.60+2.65vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.24+0.25vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.72+0.16vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.43-0.24vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.24-0.77vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.42-0.06vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.21-2.70vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College1.52-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Harvard University2.840.2%1st Place
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4.65Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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3.25Tufts University3.240.2%1st Place
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4.16University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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4.76Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.23Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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6.94Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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5.3Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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6.67Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 15.9% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 1.5% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 9.3% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 4.5% |
| Cameron Holley | 23.6% | 19.8% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 14.9% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 10.5% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% |
| Claire Havig | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 8.7% |
| Chris Colbeth | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 21.6% | 34.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 10.1% |
| Ben Brown | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 18.3% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.