Race 13A

nicholas-barnett

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Cameron Holley 23.3% 19.8% 16.0% 14.9% 9.7% 8.5% 4.8% 2.6% 0.4%
Henry Burnes 11.5% 16.0% 16.3% 15.5% 11.5% 11.2% 9.3% 6.1% 2.6%
Patrick Isherwood 14.5% 13.0% 13.1% 13.3% 13.3% 14.4% 9.3% 6.9% 2.2%
Sean Beaulieu 8.4% 10.1% 10.5% 9.3% 12.8% 13.7% 12.7% 12.4% 10.1%
Kyle Dochoda 13.5% 14.5% 14.3% 10.7% 12.4% 9.6% 11.3% 9.0% 4.7%
Ben Brown 4.4% 3.8% 6.0% 6.8% 6.9% 8.4% 15.4% 19.5% 28.8%
Alexander Vasiliou 10.3% 10.1% 11.1% 11.8% 14.4% 13.8% 12.6% 10.5% 5.4%
Claire Havig 9.9% 8.1% 9.1% 12.3% 11.7% 11.9% 12.6% 13.9% 10.5%
Chris Colbeth 4.2% 4.6% 3.6% 5.4% 7.3% 8.5% 12.0% 19.1% 35.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.