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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.24+2.28vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.84+2.17vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.21+2.39vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.72+0.14vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.42+1.68vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.60-1.53vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.24-1.71vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.43-3.13vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College1.52-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28Tufts University3.240.2%1st Place
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4.17Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.39Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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4.14University of Rhode Island2.720.2%1st Place
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6.68Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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4.47Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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5.29Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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4.87Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.7Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Holley | 23.6% | 20.1% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Henry Burnes | 12.8% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 9.9% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 15.3% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Chris Colbeth | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 18.5% | 33.0% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 12.4% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 3.9% |
| Claire Havig | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 8.9% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 7.7% |
| Ben Brown | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 19.8% | 30.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.