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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.24+2.28vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.72+2.46vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.60+1.53vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.21+1.25vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.42+1.70vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.24-0.77vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.84-2.99vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.52-1.31vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.43-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28Tufts University3.240.2%1st Place
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4.46University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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4.53Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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5.25Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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6.7Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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5.23Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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4.01Harvard University2.840.2%1st Place
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6.69Middlebury College1.520.1%1st Place
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4.86Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Holley | 23.5% | 20.4% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 11.5% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 4.1% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 13.1% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 4.1% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 9.9% |
| Chris Colbeth | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 18.1% | 33.3% |
| Claire Havig | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 7.7% |
| Henry Burnes | 15.1% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Ben Brown | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 18.9% | 31.4% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 11.5% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.