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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University1.19+2.74vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61+3.13vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology0.82+1.55vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina1.36-0.67vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38+1.72vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina0.34-0.54vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia0.85-2.56vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.67-3.18vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-0.33-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Duke University1.190.2%1st Place
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5.13University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.1%1st Place
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4.55Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.1%1st Place
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3.33University of South Carolina1.360.2%1st Place
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6.72University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.380.0%1st Place
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5.46University of North Carolina0.340.1%1st Place
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4.44University of Georgia0.850.1%1st Place
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4.82Clemson University0.670.1%1st Place
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6.8North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Miao | 19.4% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Alex Jones | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 8.2% |
| Megan Ploch | 12.1% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 3.1% |
| Jack Gonzales | 21.6% | 21.7% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Robert Williams | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 17.6% | 33.5% |
| Thompson Betts | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 10.1% |
| Allison Chenard | 12.2% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% |
| Carrie Marshall | 11.0% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 7.1% |
| Andrew Edwards | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 20.0% | 32.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.