Race 4A

saisa-np4-uncw

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Jack Gonzales 23.3% 19.3% 16.9% 13.3% 13.1% 8.0% 4.1% 2.0% 0.0%
Vincent Miao 16.2% 19.6% 16.9% 14.9% 12.1% 9.4% 7.0% 3.7% 0.2%
Carrie Marshall 11.5% 12.4% 12.2% 12.7% 14.5% 15.1% 13.4% 7.0% 1.2%
Alex Jones 12.2% 10.6% 12.9% 15.2% 12.7% 14.3% 12.8% 8.3% 1.0%
Robert Williams 4.0% 5.2% 6.4% 7.6% 8.4% 10.7% 17.9% 28.3% 11.5%
Allison Chenard 13.9% 13.0% 14.9% 14.2% 16.1% 13.5% 9.6% 4.3% 0.5%
Megan Ploch 13.3% 14.2% 12.6% 16.1% 13.1% 14.2% 10.4% 5.6% 0.5%
Andrew Edwards 5.0% 4.6% 5.7% 5.0% 8.9% 11.9% 20.4% 29.3% 9.2%
Robert McLean 0.6% 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 1.1% 2.9% 4.4% 11.5% 75.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.