Race 2A

saisa-sp-ju

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Samuel Armington 22.0% 17.4% 16.1% 12.9% 10.3% 10.2% 5.6% 3.0% 1.4% 1.1%
Paula Resto 11.6% 12.5% 11.6% 13.0% 12.1% 12.2% 12.4% 8.7% 4.6% 1.3%
Teagan Walsh 2.8% 2.1% 3.2% 3.6% 4.2% 5.4% 7.6% 12.2% 26.1% 32.8%
Cameron Douglas 8.4% 9.4% 14.1% 10.0% 12.7% 13.5% 11.9% 11.4% 6.6% 2.0%
John MacMoyle 1.8% 2.2% 2.9% 3.0% 3.5% 3.7% 5.4% 8.6% 21.1% 47.8%
Jeffrey Hayden 10.8% 10.1% 9.7% 12.6% 11.3% 13.0% 12.1% 10.6% 7.5% 2.3%
Hunter Sorensen 7.7% 8.4% 10.1% 10.5% 12.5% 12.9% 13.7% 13.0% 8.1% 3.1%
Geoffrey St. John 8.0% 10.4% 10.0% 10.8% 11.7% 12.1% 13.3% 13.5% 7.7% 2.5%
Ian Hunter 5.5% 6.6% 5.4% 9.1% 10.6% 11.6% 12.1% 15.8% 16.4% 6.9%
Jack Gower 21.4% 20.9% 16.9% 14.5% 11.1% 5.4% 5.9% 3.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.