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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.67+3.78vs Predicted
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2University of Florida2.38+1.59vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.15+2.90vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.69+0.68vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.56-0.10vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.53-2.94vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.53-1.87vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.53-2.94vs Predicted
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9University of Miami-0.16-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78Eckerd College1.670.1%1st Place
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3.59University of Florida2.380.2%1st Place
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5.9Jacksonville University1.150.1%1st Place
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4.68Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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4.9Eckerd College1.560.1%1st Place
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3.06Jacksonville University2.530.3%1st Place
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5.13Jacksonville University1.530.1%1st Place
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5.06University of South Florida1.530.1%1st Place
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7.9University of Miami-0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Douglas | 11.1% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 3.8% |
| Samuel Armington | 17.4% | 19.7% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Ian Hunter | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 22.8% | 11.1% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 2.9% |
| Geoffrey St. John | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 6.4% |
| Jack Gower | 25.2% | 22.0% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| David Perez | 9.4% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 5.6% |
| Hunter Sorensen | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 5.7% |
| John MacMoyle | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 13.3% | 63.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.