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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.53+2.14vs Predicted
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2University of Florida2.38+1.47vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.53+2.23vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.67+0.86vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.53+0.10vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.15-0.12vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.69-2.19vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.56-2.94vs Predicted
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9University of Miami-0.16-0.74vs Predicted
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10Rollins College-0.99-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14Jacksonville University2.530.3%1st Place
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3.47University of Florida2.380.2%1st Place
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5.23Jacksonville University1.530.1%1st Place
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4.86Eckerd College1.670.1%1st Place
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5.1University of South Florida1.530.1%1st Place
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5.88Jacksonville University1.150.1%1st Place
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4.81Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.06Eckerd College1.560.1%1st Place
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8.26University of Miami-0.160.0%1st Place
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9.19Rollins College-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Gower | 26.5% | 21.0% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Armington | 20.3% | 19.3% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| David Perez | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Cameron Douglas | 8.2% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Hunter Sorensen | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Ian Hunter | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 12.7% | 3.3% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 8.4% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Geoffrey St. John | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 6.2% | 0.8% |
| John MacMoyle | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 11.5% | 39.5% | 27.2% |
| Samantha Capozzi | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 20.1% | 64.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.