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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.53+2.17vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.67+3.02vs Predicted
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3University of Florida2.38+0.54vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.56+1.21vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.53+0.23vs Predicted
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6Florida State University1.69-1.13vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.23+1.04vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.53-2.73vs Predicted
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9University of Miami-0.16-0.47vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.15-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17Jacksonville University2.530.3%1st Place
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5.02Eckerd College1.670.1%1st Place
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3.54University of Florida2.380.2%1st Place
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5.21Eckerd College1.560.1%1st Place
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5.23Jacksonville University1.530.1%1st Place
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4.87Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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8.04Rollins College0.230.0%1st Place
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5.27University of South Florida1.530.1%1st Place
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8.53University of Miami-0.160.0%1st Place
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6.12Jacksonville University1.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Gower | 25.5% | 21.2% | 16.5% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Douglas | 9.8% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 1.8% |
| Samuel Armington | 19.9% | 19.0% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Geoffrey St. John | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 2.1% |
| David Perez | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 11.3% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Teagan Walsh | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 26.4% | 32.3% |
| Hunter Sorensen | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| John MacMoyle | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 21.4% | 48.2% |
| Ian Hunter | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.