← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University2.59+1.48vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College2.17+1.20vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College2.17+0.20vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University0.30+2.39vs Predicted
-
5Florida State University0.40+1.05vs Predicted
-
6University of Miami-0.29+1.12vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University2.12-3.94vs Predicted
-
8University of Florida1.29-3.38vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida1.04-3.96vs Predicted
-
10Rollins College-0.15-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.48Jacksonville University2.590.3%1st Place
-
3.2Eckerd College2.170.2%1st Place
-
3.2Eckerd College2.170.2%1st Place
-
6.39Jacksonville University0.300.0%1st Place
-
6.05Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
-
7.12University of Miami-0.290.0%1st Place
-
3.06Jacksonville University2.120.2%1st Place
-
4.62University of Florida1.290.1%1st Place
-
5.04University of South Florida1.040.1%1st Place
-
7.05Rollins College-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Burwell | 32.7% | 26.0% | 18.3% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 18.8% | 21.0% | 21.2% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 18.8% | 21.0% | 21.2% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Purcell | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 21.2% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
| Kurban Ali | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 19.1% | 16.8% | 12.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Ricca | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 15.8% | 18.7% | 35.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kiener | 20.5% | 22.2% | 20.9% | 16.5% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Beaudry | 9.1% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 12.0% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Runnfeldt | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 17.4% | 14.9% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Nick Baker | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 24.9% | 29.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.