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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Chase Burwell 32.4% 25.4% 18.9% 14.0% 5.7% 2.3% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Chris Kiener 16.5% 22.2% 21.5% 15.3% 11.6% 7.5% 3.9% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Ratcliff 22.7% 20.8% 17.9% 17.7% 12.6% 4.9% 2.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Courtney Purcell 2.8% 4.8% 5.9% 7.7% 10.4% 16.4% 17.8% 19.6% 14.6% 0.0%
Kurban Ali 4.1% 4.5% 7.4% 8.7% 12.7% 13.8% 17.4% 18.0% 13.4% 0.0%
Connor Ratcliff 22.7% 20.8% 17.9% 17.7% 12.6% 4.9% 2.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Nick Baker 2.2% 2.3% 3.3% 4.7% 7.9% 9.8% 16.6% 23.3% 29.9% 0.0%
David Beaudry 8.6% 11.2% 11.2% 14.5% 18.2% 18.0% 11.3% 5.4% 1.6% 0.0%
Kyle Runnfeldt 8.4% 6.3% 11.2% 13.2% 16.0% 17.2% 14.5% 9.5% 3.7% 0.0%
Joseph Ricca 2.3% 2.5% 2.7% 4.2% 4.9% 10.1% 14.4% 22.4% 36.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.