← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University2.59+1.47vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University2.12+1.29vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College2.17+0.06vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University0.30+2.24vs Predicted
-
5Florida State University0.40+1.03vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College2.17-2.94vs Predicted
-
7Rollins College-0.15+0.05vs Predicted
-
8University of Florida1.29-3.42vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida1.04-3.99vs Predicted
-
10University of Miami-0.29-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.47Jacksonville University2.590.3%1st Place
-
3.29Jacksonville University2.120.2%1st Place
-
3.06Eckerd College2.170.2%1st Place
-
6.24Jacksonville University0.300.0%1st Place
-
6.03Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
-
3.06Eckerd College2.170.2%1st Place
-
7.05Rollins College-0.150.0%1st Place
-
4.58University of Florida1.290.1%1st Place
-
5.01University of South Florida1.040.1%1st Place
-
7.26University of Miami-0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Burwell | 32.4% | 25.4% | 18.9% | 14.0% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kiener | 16.5% | 22.2% | 21.5% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 22.7% | 20.8% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Purcell | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 16.4% | 17.8% | 19.6% | 14.6% | 0.0% |
| Kurban Ali | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 18.0% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 22.7% | 20.8% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Baker | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 16.6% | 23.3% | 29.9% | 0.0% |
| David Beaudry | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 18.2% | 18.0% | 11.3% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Runnfeldt | 8.4% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Ricca | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 22.4% | 36.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.