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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor Ratcliff 24.5% 20.1% 19.4% 13.5% 10.7% 7.4% 3.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Telmo Basterra 26.4% 26.3% 18.2% 13.1% 7.8% 4.2% 2.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
David Beaudry 8.7% 11.5% 11.0% 13.8% 15.1% 15.2% 12.8% 8.4% 3.5% 0.0%
Courtney Purcell 3.6% 3.4% 6.0% 8.5% 8.3% 13.2% 14.9% 19.1% 23.0% 0.0%
Kyle Runnfeldt 7.9% 11.0% 11.2% 11.1% 13.7% 12.9% 14.4% 11.4% 6.4% 0.0%
Connor Ratcliff 24.5% 20.1% 19.4% 13.5% 10.7% 7.4% 3.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Kurban Ali 3.9% 4.1% 6.5% 6.5% 9.5% 11.0% 18.2% 21.5% 18.8% 0.0%
Ben McKissick-Hawley 11.1% 11.2% 12.6% 15.4% 16.8% 13.8% 10.2% 6.4% 2.5% 0.0%
Olivia Keefe 11.0% 9.4% 12.0% 13.5% 13.9% 14.0% 12.2% 9.3% 4.7% 0.0%
Nick Baker 2.9% 3.0% 3.1% 4.6% 4.2% 8.3% 11.5% 21.6% 40.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.