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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.45+5.59vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.89+2.67vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.09+5.30vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.85+1.57vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+7.38vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.16+2.17vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.57-0.20vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.07+3.76vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.54+1.90vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.79-0.92vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.44-0.01vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.59-2.61vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.64-3.33vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-4.97vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68-5.19vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.03-0.66vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.50-3.15vs Predicted
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18Tulane University1.84-9.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59Harvard University2.458.4%1st Place
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4.67Stanford University2.8917.1%1st Place
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8.3Roger Williams University2.095.5%1st Place
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5.57Yale University2.8511.6%1st Place
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12.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.991.9%1st Place
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8.17University of Pennsylvania2.166.0%1st Place
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6.8U. S. Naval Academy2.579.1%1st Place
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11.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.072.8%1st Place
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10.9Fordham University1.542.8%1st Place
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9.08Cornell University1.794.9%1st Place
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10.99George Washington University1.442.9%1st Place
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9.39Old Dominion University1.595.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Michigan1.643.8%1st Place
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9.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.775.8%1st Place
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9.81St. Mary's College of Maryland1.684.2%1st Place
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15.34University of California at Los Angeles-0.030.9%1st Place
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13.85SUNY Maritime College0.501.3%1st Place
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8.72Tulane University1.846.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Reade Decker | 17.1% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 10.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Henry Allgeier | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| David Vinogradov | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 5.9% |
| Lucas Thress | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Sophia Devling | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 4.3% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Braden Vogel | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Nathan Jensen | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| David Spector | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 45.4% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 18.4% | 20.4% |
| Matheo Graham-capasso | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.