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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Telmo Basterra 31.7% 24.5% 17.9% 11.3% 8.2% 4.4% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Courtney Purcell 2.3% 2.8% 4.8% 6.6% 8.8% 11.2% 16.1% 23.3% 24.1% 0.0%
Kyle Runnfeldt 6.6% 7.8% 11.6% 12.4% 10.7% 16.1% 15.5% 14.8% 4.5% 0.0%
Connor Ratcliff 23.0% 24.4% 17.6% 15.2% 9.5% 5.5% 3.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Connor Ratcliff 23.0% 24.4% 17.6% 15.2% 9.5% 5.5% 3.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Kurban Ali 4.3% 5.2% 6.5% 8.3% 10.5% 11.4% 15.2% 18.5% 20.1% 0.0%
Ben McKissick-Hawley 10.9% 11.5% 15.0% 15.4% 16.0% 11.9% 11.5% 5.7% 2.1% 0.0%
Olivia Keefe 9.0% 10.3% 10.7% 14.1% 17.0% 14.3% 12.3% 9.7% 2.6% 0.0%
David Beaudry 9.7% 10.8% 13.3% 12.3% 13.6% 16.2% 12.4% 7.7% 4.0% 0.0%
Nick Baker 2.5% 2.7% 2.6% 4.4% 5.7% 9.0% 11.4% 19.6% 42.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.