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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.46+1.61vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.30+4.76vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.04+2.24vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.17-0.99vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.17-1.99vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.40+0.24vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.44-2.63vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.26-3.24vs Predicted
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9University of Florida1.29-4.30vs Predicted
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10Rollins College-0.15-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Jacksonville University2.460.3%1st Place
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6.76Jacksonville University0.300.0%1st Place
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5.24University of South Florida1.040.1%1st Place
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3.01Eckerd College2.170.2%1st Place
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3.01Eckerd College2.170.2%1st Place
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6.24Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
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4.37Jacksonville University1.440.1%1st Place
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4.76University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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4.7University of Florida1.290.1%1st Place
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7.31Rollins College-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telmo Basterra | 31.7% | 24.5% | 17.9% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Purcell | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 23.3% | 24.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Runnfeldt | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 23.0% | 24.4% | 17.6% | 15.2% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 23.0% | 24.4% | 17.6% | 15.2% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kurban Ali | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 18.5% | 20.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben McKissick-Hawley | 10.9% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Keefe | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| David Beaudry | 9.7% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Baker | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 19.6% | 42.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.