Race 5B

saisa-sp-ju

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor Ratcliff 22.6% 20.4% 19.7% 17.0% 10.3% 7.1% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Chris Kiener 17.6% 19.7% 22.8% 16.4% 12.4% 6.9% 3.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Joseph Ricca 1.2% 2.6% 2.6% 4.5% 5.5% 8.1% 17.0% 21.4% 37.1% 0.0%
Chase Burwell 34.1% 27.0% 18.5% 12.0% 4.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Baker 1.5% 3.6% 3.5% 6.9% 8.7% 10.3% 14.3% 22.2% 29.0% 0.0%
Kyle Runnfeldt 6.9% 8.4% 10.4% 12.5% 17.0% 19.7% 13.9% 7.9% 3.3% 0.0%
David Beaudry 8.5% 10.2% 12.0% 16.6% 18.1% 15.4% 10.6% 7.0% 1.6% 0.0%
Kurban Ali 4.2% 3.7% 6.3% 7.5% 11.1% 15.8% 19.1% 19.7% 12.6% 0.0%
Courtney Purcell 3.4% 4.4% 4.2% 6.6% 12.0% 14.2% 18.9% 20.3% 16.0% 0.0%
Connor Ratcliff 22.6% 20.4% 19.7% 17.0% 10.3% 7.1% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.