← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University2.12+2.14vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College2.17+1.22vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida1.04+2.00vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University2.59-1.58vs Predicted
-
5University of Florida1.29-0.55vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College2.17-2.78vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami-0.29+0.23vs Predicted
-
8Rollins College-0.15-0.90vs Predicted
-
9Florida State University0.40-2.87vs Predicted
-
10Jacksonville University0.30-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.14Jacksonville University2.120.2%1st Place
-
3.22Eckerd College2.170.2%1st Place
-
5.0University of South Florida1.040.1%1st Place
-
2.42Jacksonville University2.590.3%1st Place
-
4.45University of Florida1.290.1%1st Place
-
3.22Eckerd College2.170.2%1st Place
-
7.23University of Miami-0.290.0%1st Place
-
7.1Rollins College-0.150.0%1st Place
-
6.13Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
-
6.3Jacksonville University0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Kiener | 21.7% | 18.8% | 19.5% | 18.9% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 17.8% | 21.5% | 20.9% | 16.8% | 12.0% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Runnfeldt | 6.6% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 17.7% | 17.6% | 15.7% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Chase Burwell | 34.3% | 25.6% | 18.3% | 11.7% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Beaudry | 8.9% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 17.8% | 21.5% | 20.9% | 16.8% | 12.0% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Ricca | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 15.2% | 23.7% | 34.5% | 0.0% |
| Nick Baker | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 22.4% | 31.8% | 0.0% |
| Kurban Ali | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 20.5% | 17.6% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Purcell | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 20.4% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.