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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.38+1.40vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.82+1.26vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.09-0.18vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-0.30vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.78-0.27vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.73-1.24vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+0.37vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.25-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Tufts University3.380.3%1st Place
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3.26Yale University2.820.2%1st Place
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2.82University of Rhode Island3.090.2%1st Place
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3.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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4.73University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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4.76Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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7.37University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Beatty | 34.3% | 26.2% | 17.9% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 17.2% | 19.4% | 20.2% | 18.7% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Dakota Northrup | 22.8% | 24.1% | 21.6% | 16.1% | 10.9% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 12.7% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 19.6% | 19.6% | 13.1% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Pearson | 5.6% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 21.3% | 30.0% | 9.3% | 1.2% |
| Zachary Jordan | 6.3% | 5.5% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 20.2% | 29.8% | 10.3% | 1.5% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 25.2% | 63.5% |
| David Rodriguez | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 7.5% | 49.9% | 33.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.