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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.23+1.00vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.14+2.08vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles2.57-0.38vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.04-1.84vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine0.90-0.61vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.06-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0Stanford University3.230.4%1st Place
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4.08Western Washington University1.140.0%1st Place
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2.62University of California at Los Angeles2.570.2%1st Place
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2.16University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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4.39University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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5.75University of California at San Diego-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 39.4% | 32.1% | 19.6% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Angela Gossom | 4.1% | 6.4% | 13.0% | 36.1% | 34.6% | 5.8% |
| Charlotte Hughes | 20.1% | 24.4% | 33.6% | 17.2% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 33.1% | 30.6% | 24.9% | 10.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Kate Andersen | 2.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 25.9% | 47.1% | 10.2% |
| Marie McLellan-Heck | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 3.6% | 11.0% | 83.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.